How to estimate the duration of unforeseen tasks?

I would like to know if anyone knows the methodology or something that can estimate the duration of unforeseen tasks.

Many times I need to leave some task and visit many others, I read about switching contexts , but my problem is that I cannot, because I do not know how to estimate the length of an unexpected task. Maybe?

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I try to give estimates in hours of work, so if I get distracted by a task, I can indicate what I did and how much longer.

: http://www.joelonsoftware.com/articles/fog0000000245.html

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1.5h     got pulled away to fix a production bug
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45m      server offline due to upgrade
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4h       entire staff evacuated due to bomb scare
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If you have unforeseen tasks, then you can find out about the time during which you work on them and add as a buffer to determine the end date (not working for the project, because unforeseen tasks sound as if they were connected. other projects). There have been studies showing the mean. a programmer has 60% performance on a designated project, so buffering 30% -40% may seem high (or it may not be), but it will be a good starting point.

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Source: https://habr.com/ru/post/1721215/


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